Problem
Estimate the order of magnitude of the number of hairs on a healthy adult head, reasoning from the surface density of hairs (a few per ) and the area of the scalp. Compare your result with the tabulated value ( total hairs) and indicate the most critical assumptions.
Solution
Step 1 — Surface density. The statement suggests “a few hairs per ”. We cautiously assume about . Since :
Step 2 — Scalp area. We approximate the hair-covered area to a cap of the head. With an effective radius of we get an area of the order of:
Step 3 — Total number.
Result.
Step 4 — Comparison and critical assumptions. The tabulated value ( hairs) matches the estimate as an order of magnitude. The most critical assumptions are:
- the density , which varies greatly between individuals and areas of the head (higher at the crown, sparser towards the edges): a factor of – uncertainty;
- the area , which depends on the hairline and the extent of the hair-covered area.
Since the result is the product of two factors each known to within a factor , the exponent is robust even though the leading digit (between and ) is uncertain. This is the typical outcome of a Fermi estimate: the power of is reliable, the coefficient is not.
Linked notes
Topics: Grandezze fisiche e misura Concepts: Notazione scientifica e ordini di grandezza Skills: Stime di Fermi